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30 January 2009


40Gb/s shipments to grow 50% annually for next five years

Optical transport equipment revenue is forecasted to decline 9% in 2009 but then resume growth in 2010, reaching $14.5bn in 2013, according to a new Dell’Oro Group 5-Year Forecast Report.

Shipments of 40Gb/s wavelengths are forecast to grow at least 50% in each of the next five years and contribute nearly one-third of capacity shipped in DWDM long-haul systems by 2013.

“The economy of most major countries is in a recession, and the consensus belief is that this recession may last through 2009,” says Jimmy Yu, director of Optical Transport research at Dell’Oro Group. “While the near-term outlook is for the total optical market to contract 9% due to factors such as the economic downturn, there continues to be an opportunity for technologies that will help service providers reduce their capital expense while still expanding their network capacity,” he adds. “40Gb/s is one of those technologies, as the price per bit of a 40Gb/s wavelength starts to be lower than that of a 10Gb/s wavelength in a DWDM long-haul system.”

The report also indicates that shipments of 100Gb/s wavelengths are expected in late 2011.

See rlated item:

Optical transport market to contract by 10% in 2009

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