21 May 2012

Lighting market to shrink as LEDs displace conventional technology

LEDs will displace more than 52% of the global market for lamps in commercial buildings by 2021, according to a recent report ‘Energy Efficient Lighting for Commercial Markets’ from cleantech market intelligence firm Pike Research. The company anticipates that the combination of declining prices for LED lighting and the accompanying extended lamp lifetimes will have the effect of shrinking the overall value of the market.

While revenues from LED lamps in the commercial sector will rise by 8.5% through 2021 to $2.7bn, Pike forecasts, the overall market for commercial lighting will peak at $54bn in 2012 before contracting through the remainder of the decade, reaching about $30bn in 2021.

“It would be hard to imagine in today’s world that technology will not beat out tradition,” says senior analyst Eric Bloom. “The commercial lighting industry will undergo a transformation over the next 10 years that will result in a significant drop in direct revenue from unit sales,” he adds. “Lamp and luminaire manufacturers and others in the value chain will have to rely on lighting controls and services to offset the revenue and profit lost in this process.”

Internationally, the trend toward efficiency is highly correlated with economic and infrastructure conditions, the firm notes. While Europe and Asia are conservation-minded and open to government programs to limit consumption, the USA is highly fragmented due to state-driven codes and regional electric rate variations, and is comparatively new to the concept of conservation, it adds. Much, but not all of Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, and parts of Asia are working toward developing adequate infrastructure and are lagging behind in commercial lighting efficiency due to other higher priorities, concludes Pike Research.

See related items:

LEDs to hit 70% lighting market penetration in Japan

Tags: LEDs Lighting market

Visit: www.pikeresearch.com

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